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Brazil on Course to Become a Top Ten Oil Exporter in Five Years PDF Print E-mail
Written by Newsroom   
Thursday, 10 September 2009

Oil rig Brazilian state-controlled oil and gas multinational Petrobras announced that the deepwater offshore Guará field holds between 1.1 and 2 billion barrels of oil. In an official release Brazil's government managed oil company Petrobras said initial output may be as much as 50,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day by 2012.

Guará is in the so-called pre-salt region and exploratory drilling has proved successful, said the release. Petrobras has spent billions of dollars to tap oil deposits off Brazil's coast including the Tupi field, the largest discovery in the Americas since Mexico's Cantarell in 1976.

Petrobras's plans to spend a record US$ 174.4 billion over the next five years to boost crude output by 53% and have Brazil among the top ten oil producers and exporters of the world.

Petrobras is the operator of Guará, with a 45% stake; Reading, UK-based BG has 30% and Repsol-YPF 25%. The companies announced they will use a 120,000 barrel-a-day floating production, storage and offloading vessel, known as an FPSO, to develop Guará.

Petrobras last year made a discovery in Guará, part of the BM-S-9 area that also includes the fields known as Carioca and Iguaçu. The company said April 16 that Iguaçu contained "significant" resources while declining to estimate its size.

"Guará is only one of the wells drilled in the BM-S-9 block (where the company also drilled Carioca, Iguaçu and is drilling Abaré), which means that the block's potential could be significantly higher," according to local oil market analysts.

"It is clear that the Santos Basin pre-salt will make a very material contribution to the production and cash flow of BG Group for many years to come," BG Chief Executive Officer Frank Chapman said in a statement.

Petrobras wants to increase output to about 3.66 million barrels a day by 2013, compared with 2.4 million barrels a day in 2008, the company has said. Repsol said the estimate of recoverable reserves at Guará is equivalent to between two and four years of Spain's oil and gas demand.

"The discoveries of the last few years represent significant contingent resources which will guarantee the growth in reserves and production in the coming years," Repsol said in a statement.

The pre-salt region runs 800 kilometers along the Brazilian coast and has oil deposits beneath a layer of salt resting as deep as 3.000 meters below the ocean surface and another 5.000 meters under the seabed.

Mercopress

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only if they dont start taking money from investers
written by FORREST ALLEN BROWN, September 10, 2009
Petroleo Brasileiro SA has embarked on a global campaign to assure investors and oil-industry partners that they won't get stiffed in a Brazilian government plan to funnel more revenue from the nation's massive deep-water oil finds into government coffers.

Chief Executive Sergio Gabrielli said he plans to soothe U.S. and European investors and executives during a week of meetings that begin in New York on Monday. His top priority: persuading executives at major oil companies that they will have an important role in developing the fields.

"We have many important industry partners who will be able to share in the reserves," Mr. Gabrielli said in an interview Wednesday. All of the nation's existing contracts will remain in force, he said.

It's an important distinction in an era of resource nationalism. As oil prices rose in recent years, Russia, Venezuela and Ecuador rewrote oil-industry rules in favor of the state and altered pre-existing contracts, hurting relationships with international oil companies. By distinguishing itself from such actions, Brazil is seeking to ensure access to the corporate know-how necessary to exploit hard-to-reach oil deposits.

Petrobras shares tumbled last week after the government announced plans to acquire additional shares in Petrobras and pay for them with rights to five billion barrels of oil in an unspecified oil field, instead of with cash. The announcement provoked concern about how the rights would be valued, especially since the oil discovery lies deep beneath the seabed under a layer of shifting salt. While the Brazilian government is Petrobras's controlling shareholder, a substantial number of shares trade in Sao Paulo and New York.

Comments by Brazilian politicians made matters worse. A Brazilian senator last week told reporters that the oil rights will be worth around $10 a barrel. Morgan Stanley estimates fair value at closer to $5.80.

"The timing of this, the valuation, there is a lot of uncertainty," said Conrad Saldanha, manager of the Neuberger Berman Emerging Markets Equity Fund, 3.5% of which was in Petrobras shares as of July 31. "But the fact that this is one of the largest oil finds we've seen is positive news."

Mr. Gabrielli, a bearded 59-year-old academic who holds an economics doctorate from Boston University, said his firm will pay "fair value" for the development rights. He said he plans to hire established appraisal firms to help make sure that happens. The oil industry relies on a small group of oil appraisal firms to certify reserves and provide information in oil-rights auctions. Hiring one or more of these firms may help boost investor confidence, analysts said.

Investors this week bid Petrobras shares back to nearly where they traded before rumors of the government's plan began circulating. "The question is how much will be paid for the five billion barrels. But over time, the company has done right by its shareholders, and the government has been very pragmatic," said Craig Shaw, co-manager of the Harding Loevner Emerging Markets Fund, which holds Petrobras shares.

Mr. Gabrielli's trip may begin on a high note. Petrobras said late Tuesday that tests showed that its Guara deep-water field holds as many as two billion barrels of oil.

Mr. Gabrielli said Petrobras's free-market ethos will remain intact, even as the government increases its stake. Brazilian law prohibits Petrobras from undertaking unprofitable ventures, which will prevent the federal government from using its increased authority over the oil industry from winnowing away Petrobras earnings, he said.

After making the biggest oil discovery in more than three decades, Brazil is seeking a bigger share of oil revenue in order to fund an ambitious social agenda. Under the proposed rule changes, Petrobras is guaranteed a 30% stake in the development of the new fields. The federal government will also take direct stakes in the fields' production and launch a fund to pay for education, social welfare and other programs
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AND PBO GAVE 10 BILLION TOO BRASIL FOR OIL AND GAS DRILLING FOR HIS BUDDIES
written by FORREST ALLEN BROWN, September 12, 2009
The Obama administration opened a new front in its effort to impose $31.5 billion in taxes on oil and gas companies, saying that the nation puts too much emphasis on oil and gas at the expense of other industries.

The chief economist in the Obama administration's Treasury Department testified before a Senate panel that current subsidies "lead to overinvestment" in the oil and gas industry. That went beyond previous statements about the need to protect taxpayers and was the clearest signal yet that the federal government hopes to end its role in nurturing domestic oil and gas production.

"To the extent that current subsidies for the oil and gas industry encourage the overproduction of oil and natural gas, they divert resources from other, potentially more efficient investments, and they are inconsistent with the Obama administration's goals to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions and build a new, clean energy economy," Alan Krueger, the Treasury's chief economist, told the panel.

"That's absurd," said Devon Energy Corp. (DVN) Chief Executive Larry Nichols, the chairman of the American Petroleum Institute, before the panel. "At a time when respected energy studies agree on the need to increase all sources of domestic energy, it makes absolutely no sense to discourage production of our leading sources, oil and natural gas."

For years, Republicans encouraged oil as part of an "all of the above" strategy intended to reduce reliance on imports, especially from unstable parts of the world. But the Obama administration is trying to shift the debate amid a focus on global warming. Oil is viewed by the Obama administration as part of the problem because transportation accounts for more than a quarter of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions.

The new rhetoric isn't sitting well with Congress. Sen. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, warned that the U.S. would be "at a tremendous disadvantage" if the country turned its back on oil, gas and coal. Jeff Bingaman, D-N.M., a moderate voice in the Democratic party, cited "concerns" about some of the proposals, urging sensitivity to regional interests. Sen. Jim Bunning, R-Ky., used stronger language.

"We are 62% imported from not very friendly countries right now on oil," Bunning said. Krueger replied: "That's correct. The best way for us to reduce" -- but Bunning cut him off. "Is to become less independent -- is that what you're saying?" Bunning said.

The Obama administration also may run into inconsistencies as it shapes its own energy program. By taking away tax incentives for gas production, the U.S. would be discouraging a cleaner-burning fossil fuel that is seen by some environmentalists as central to transitioning away from coal.

"This counterproductive approach is also at odds with the administration's own carbon reduction policy because it would discourage the production of natural gas, our cleanest fossil fuel," said Nichols
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WHAT I WANT TO SEE IS CHAVES THROWING IRIAN AND RUSSIA OUT LIKE HE DID THE OTHER OIL COMPAINES AFTER THEY DID ALL HIS WORK
written by FORREST ALLEN BROWN, September 12, 2009
his visit to Russia, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev further strengthened energy ties by signing a package of deals, including a memorandum of understanding to develop the Junin-6 field in Venezuela, reports Russian media news source RIA Novosti.

Located in the South American country's Orinoco belt, which is estimated to house reserves of some 235 billion barrels of heavy oil, the Junin-6 field will be developed by state-run PDVSA and a consortium of major Russian oil producers consisting of TNK-BP, Lukoil, Gazprom and Surgutneftegaz.

According to Chavez, the Venezuelan-Russian joint venture will pump a daily output of 400,000 barrels of oil.

PDVSA also authorized an agreement with Russian pipeline monopoly Transneft for infrastructure in the Orinoco region, the media outlet said. Transneft confirmed Friday that it will start construction on a 1,300-kilometer oil pipeline within three to four years, which PDVSA estimates will cost $600 million.

Additionally, Transneft said it will build a 700 kilometer pipeline from the Junin-6 field
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NOW IT COMES OUT IN ORDER TO WORK IN BRASIL YOU HAVE TO HAVE YOUR RIGS BUILT IN BRASIL SO PETROBRASS RIGS WILL BE FREE AS THE PRICE OF THE OTHER RIGS WILL COVER THERES
written by FORREST ALLEN BROWN, September 14, 2009
Petrobras' Executive Board has approved the strategy to hire up to 28 new drilling rigs to be built in Brazil, with increasing national content, and to be used for ultra-deepwater exploration, including the fields located in the pre-salt layer. The rigs are slated to be delivered between 2013 and 2018.

A first phase foresees the hiring of a minimum lot of 9 rigs. Of this first lot, seven vessel-type units will be built, based on consolidated technologies widely used in the global market, and constructed in a single shipyard. Contracting these seven rigs from a same shipyard will allow the winning bidder to make the investments that are required in order for it to construct the needed infrastructure and to achieve the necessary economies of scale.

The two other units, which may be either vessel-type rigs or semi-submersible platforms, will be built separately and may use technologies that incorporate concepts new to the market, but which will afford Petrobras greater economic and operating benefits.

In addition to building these nine units, the Company will simultaneously conduct a process among all rig operators in which Petrobras would charter up to four units per operator. The rigs to be chartered would be built in Brazil. Under this strategy, the charterers themselves would be responsible for constructing rigs in Brazilian shipyards.

The process involved the bids to chartering and constructing all of the units is expected to be released as early as September 2009.

The volume of orders will not only make feasible the expansion and upgrading of existing shipyards, as well as the creation of new, modern shipyards in Brazil. It is expected that the investment in new and existing yards will lead to the implementation of a new Brazilian naval industry that can compete with the best international shipyards in the offshore industry segment.

Due to the characteristics of these drilling rigs, building them in Brazil will also promote a major expansion of the related industries in goods and services that supply the shipyards’ productive chain. To assist in this process, Petrobras is analyzing how it may facilitate access to credit for the Brazilian suppliers who will form the supply chain for the drilling rigs to be chartered.

To make it feasible to execute this huge project, which will certainly drive the Brazilian economic development and may generate upwards of 40,000 new direct and indirect jobs after all orders have been placed, the Federal Government will allocate, via the Guarantee Fund for Naval Construction, R$4 billion exclusively to support the construction of these 28 drilling rigs
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