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Petrobras Freezes Overseas Investment. Full Steam Ahead in Brazil Waters! PDF Print E-mail
Written by Newsroom   
Saturday, 19 September 2009

Petrobras's BR gas station in Brazil Brazil's state-controlled oil and gas multinational Petrobras will freeze overseas investments as the company concentrates on its primary role to develop recently discovered offshore oil reserves, CEO Jose Sergio Gabrielli said this Thursday, September 17.

Gabrielli told investors during a presentation in Paris that "international investments are frozen because the volume of opportunities in Brazil is so large." Gabrielli, however, noted that the company would maintain its US$ 174.4 billion 2009-2013 strategic plan, which was released in January.

Petrobras currently plans to invest US$ 15.9 billion in its international operations, with US$ 12.6 billion headed for exploration and production. The company expects international output of 341,000 barrels of oil equivalent by 2013.

On Wednesday Petrobras announced the discovery of another deposit of oil and natural gas in Brazil's Santos Basin. The find was made together with BG Group and Repsol after a fourth well was drilled in the BM-S-9 block off the country's southeastern coast.

The Abaré Oeste field is next to the Carioca, Guará and Iguaçu fields, where the company has already reported the existence of crude.

Petrobras made the announcement as CEO Gabrielli met investors in New York to defend Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's plan to increase control over the energy industry through regulations being debated in Congress.

The rules would allow the government to boost its stake in Petrobras and make the company the sole operator of so-called pre-salt fields, which may more than double Brazil's proven reserves in three years.

"We are in a fantastic moment," Gabrielli was quoted by Bloomberg News. Brazil has the world's biggest potential reserves and the ability "to develop the whole supply chain to provide goods and services to the oil industry," he said.

Petrobras's proven oil reserves may more than double to as much as 35 billion barrels in the next two to three years from about 14 billion currently, Gabrielli underlined

Mercopress

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Energy Independence Catapults Brazil Into The Forefront of Geopolitical Economics and Trade
written by Lloyd Cata, September 19, 2009
"We are in a fantastic moment," Gabrielli was quoted by Bloomberg News.

While most of the developed countries continue to suffer from the quagmire of their economic blunders, leaving a disaster in the making among some developing and underdeveloped countries, Brazil has weathered the storm of the latest energy sector fluctuations and market manipulations with surprising strength.

Given the further expectation of becoming a major "energy exporter, the Brazilian economy is poised for unprecedented growth comparable to the growth in some Asian sectors. The primary challenge accompanying this growth will be the rise in inflation. If not handled correctly inflation in the Brazilian economy could portend internal problems given Brazil's huge poverty levels in the midst of an economic expansion. If a significant portion of the countries new-found wealth does not translate into improving the lives of every Brazilian, or increases basic costs to the middle-class, then all the new wealth will only translate into increased violence and instability within Brazilian society.

It is a fantastic moment, and also a moment to reflect on the possibilities and promise of a just and fair society for all Brazilians. The consequences of corruption and the hunger for equity and equality must be addressed for this fantastic moment to translate into a believable future for all Brazilians. Congratulations and good luck!
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Lloyd Cata
written by João da Silva, September 19, 2009
Congratulations and good luck!


Thank you so much, Dr.Cata. I am sure our other fellow Brasilian bloggers join me in accepting your kudos. God is no longer an "Englishman".
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João da Silva
written by Lloyd Cata, September 20, 2009
Immodesty leads me to look back several years to see how close I was to calling the present environment in Brazil. When many people with esteemed qualifications predicted that Brazil's economy could not help but follow the US with even worse results, I kept faith because the foundation for growth had been laid, and I must admit to Brazilian sources here in the US, to whom I am deeply grateful.
Remember my earlier warning about the US "exporting inflation" and dollar-denominated investments. There will come a time when these two issues will trend in a different direction, but not before major adjustments to the US financial and regulatory systems. This will certainly not occur in the short-term unless another major shock hits the global industrialized markets.
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written by Cleveland M Jones, September 22, 2009
The optimism and pride which Brazilians rightfully feel, as we have successfully lived through a world crisis that humbled first-world countries, may be short-lived, as we now see more clearly the direction in which President Lula is taking Brazil.

It has finally been said with so many words, by the president and his appointed successor, Dilma Rousseff, that statization, and not economic adjustments to maximize the national benefits of oil exploitation in the new pre-salt frontier, is the real objective of the proposed changes to the successful oil legislation and regulation system currently in place.

Two factors have allowed the president to exploit the current comfortable situation in which Brazil finds itself: first, an early period of economic and political restraint, and continuation of sound economic policies from the prior administration, during the early days of president Lula’s administration; and second, a good deal of luck, with origins also dating back to the prior administration. Now, the rush to demagoguery may take Brazil towards an unfortunate destination - returning Petrobras and the entire Brazilian oil industry from glory days and technical successes, to the situation in which Mexico now finds itself – a national oil company (Pemex) reigning absolute over inefficiency, bound by bureaucracy, and rife with mismanagement and political interference.

While we may still be a ways away from a Venezuelan style of manipulation of its national oil company (PDVSA), the distance has narrowed, and the direction in which Brazil is moving does not bode well for future efficiency by the industry. At a minimum, the course is set towards more centralized control, less transparency with funds and accounts of the new proposed national oil company, and for the opportunity for more dubious and outright corrupt practices. Everything that unscrupulous politicians could ever hope for.

It seems that the early focus of President Lula's administration on responsible policies has given way to advancing a political agenda geared towards the preservation of political power by the president's party (PT) above all other long term objectives, and also at the expense of democratic practices.

Political nominations have dominated top levels of all government companies and agencies in which the government could possibly interfere. There is less and less support for a reasoned approach to discussing and deciding our energy and development choices. Unfortunately, the president himself has personally guided this change towards a less democratic and more personal leadership style.

As a Brazilian dedicated to helping build a more sustainable development of its energy resources, I am disappointed, dismayed and concerned. It will be difficult to turn around the blind sentimental approach to guiding our future, or letting our future be guided by a cult leader. Technical considerations in the discussion of energy and development issues, and in considering the new oil legislation proposed, have been systematically denied by administration officials, and even by Petrobras’ president, appointed by president Lula.

The dominance of president Lula’s personal direction in all matters and policies regarding Brazil’s development has left a political vacuum which even the opposition parties have been reluctant to occupy, intimidated by vitriolic personal attacks on those who dare to raise their voices in opposition.

Now is indeed the time for God to be Brazilian. Rather than bestowing even more pre-salt oil and other natural resource riches and on us, which just seem to inflate political ambitions, we need guidance to strengthen our democratic gains of the recent past, to consolidate our economic gains with effective policies aimed at sustainable development.

It is not too much to ask to be free from another era of banana republic politics.
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