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Brazil Ready to Let Dollar Climb and Interests Fall PDF Print E-mail
Written by Newsroom   
Sunday, 25 February 2007

Brazil to let dollar rise in face of real Brazil has named a strong critic of the country's Central Bank strict (and controversial) monetary policy as representative before the IMF (International Monetary Fund), according to a release from the Brazilian Finance Ministry.

Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr., an economics professor from São Paulo and a close associate of Finance Minister Guido Mantega will replace former Central Bank board member Eduardo Loyo as executive director of Brazil in the IMF.

His nomination has strengthened market perceptions that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva might have decided to loosen the tight, orthodox, high interest rates policy of his first four year mandate. Mr. Loyo has been an outspoken supporter of the current Central Bank hard line policy.

Nogueira Batista will be taking his post next April following consultations with eight other Latinamerican countries, which together with Brazil have a one vote right in the IMF board, added the ministry. IMF made no comments.

Brazil which was once one of the countries which most appealed to IMF credits has repaid all loans and has no pending debts with the multilateral organization.

Nogueira, 51, has been a systematic critic of the IMF and has regularly attacked the Central Bank's conservative monetary policy. In a recent opinion column in the Folha de S. Paulo Nogueira argued that Central Bank policies were harming Brazil's economic expansion.

The bank has followed a most orthodox monetary policy taking the Selic reference rate up to 19.75%, but since September 2005 has gradually reduced it to 13%, still one of the world's highest real interest rates, particularly since Brazilian inflation has ranged between 5 and 6%.

Market estimates indicate that Brazil last year expanded 3%, well below the 5% anticipated by Lula and which he promised to sustain during his second four year term.

President Lula has been under strong pressure from his own ruling coalition that has been demanding lower interest rates because the current policy "has overvalued the Brazilian currency and is impeding Lula from honoring his growth promises".

Labor minister Luiz Marinho and a former union leader like Lula and the Workers Party chairman Ricardo Berzoini have publicly demanded that the Central Bank speed the reduction of the reference rate "to help depreciate the currency so as to boost exports and job creation".

"The Central Bank's obsession with its fight against inflation has turned into an obstacle for President Lula's target of boosting economic growth", said the Lower House whip of the ruling coalition Fernando Ferro.

Brazil's Central Bank is headed by Henrique Meirelles, a former Bank of Boston CEO. Finance minister Mantega and Nogueira Batista worked together at the Getúlio Vargas Foundation, a prestigious economic research institute and famous for its Business Administration School.

Mercopress

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Comments (4)Add Comment
...
written by Ric, 2007-02-26 12:03:55
Title of article has several possible meanings.
...
written by bienchido, 2007-02-26 16:46:34
Well, I hope there's some truth to this, because the strong real is killing me!!!!
...
written by Ric, 2007-02-26 20:20:29
Right, well, sooner or later it will happen, regardless of Brazilian monetary policy
Mr
written by J. S. Bywater, 2007-02-27 00:19:18
I am married to a Brasileira and retired here in ocianica (Niteroi). I am English and retired and have permanent visa. My pensions etc are paid into BARCLAYS BANK, tthe inflation has vastly reduced the value of my money ie ££££££££££££, it is about time Lula does what he says. Also the REAL should be valid outside BRASIL, it would encourage investment and encourage technology here. It would then not be called "THE LONELY PLANET"!!

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